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Z-Scores & the Normal Distribution

From the bell curve to top-quartile thresholds  ·  Tap NEXT to begin

Section 1 of 9

The Bell Curve and Standard Score

Lots of things in the real world — heights, exam results, IQ, weights of crisp packets — pile up around an average and thin out either side. Plot the count and you get a bell curve. The bell curve is also called the normal distribution.
The Empirical Rule from last topic told us how the data is spread out — $68\%$ within one $\sigma$, $95\%$ within two $\sigma$, $99.7\%$ within three $\sigma$. Here's the picture, this time with IQ scores ($\mu = 100$, $\sigma = 10$) on top and z-scores below — same curve, two scales:
1σ = 68%  ·  2σ = 95%  ·  3σ = 99.7%708090100110120130IQ scores−3−2−10123z-scores2.3513.5343413.52.350.150.152.3513.5343413.52.350.150.15standard bell curveμ = 100
The numbers inside each band are the percentage of values that fall in that strip. They're the same on the top and bottom curves — the bands have the same areas no matter what scale we use. The IQ axis and the z-axis are just two different rulers for the same picture. Notice the link: $\text{IQ} = 110$ on top sits over $z = 1$ on the bottom; $\text{IQ} = 80$ sits over $z = -2$. Each step of one $\sigma$ on the IQ scale ($+10$ in IQ points) is one step on the z-scale ($+1$).

(i)   Why standardise?

Every real bell curve has a different $\mu$ and a different $\sigma$. IQ uses $\mu = 100$, $\sigma = 15$. Maths test marks might use $\mu = 61$, $\sigma = 3$. The shape is the same — but the numbers on the axis are different every time.
Instead of carrying $\mu$ and $\sigma$ around forever, we rescale any bell curve to one master version called the standard normal:
The standard normal — must learn
Mean  =  $\mu = 0$.   Standard deviation  =  $\sigma = 1$.
The horizontal axis is in units of $\sigma$, called z-scores.
The total area under the curve is exactly $1$  (= 100% of everything).
It is symmetric about $z = 0$.
To convert a real-world value $x$ (from a distribution with mean $\mu$ and standard deviation $\sigma$) into a z-score, we use:
The standard score
z$\,=\, \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma}$    (how many standard deviations is $x$ above the mean?)
The z-score tells you where a value sits on the bell curve. $z = 0$ means dead average. $z = 1$ means one $\sigma$ above the mean (about $84\%$ of values are below you). $z = -2$ means two $\sigma$ below the mean. We'll use the formula properly in Section 7 — first we learn to read the curve.
You try
Without looking anything up, what percentage of values in a normal distribution lie within 2 standard deviations of the mean?
This is the Empirical Rule — middle band.
The Empirical Rule says $\mu \pm 2\sigma$ contains about $95\%$ of values.
$\approx 95\%$
$\approx 95\%$
You try
IQ scores have $\mu = 100$ and $\sigma = 15$. Between what two IQ values do roughly $68\%$ of people lie?
Within 1 standard deviation means $\mu \pm \sigma$.
$68\%$ lies within one $\sigma$ of the mean.
$\mu - \sigma \,=\, 100 - 15 \,=\, 85$.
$\mu + \sigma \,=\, 100 + 15 \,=\, 115$.
Between $85$ and $115$.
Between $85$ and $115$.
You try
A z-score of $z = 1.5$ means a value is how far above the mean — in units of $\sigma$?
z-scores are just standard deviations counted from the mean.
By definition, $z = \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma}$ counts standard deviations from $\mu$.
$1.5$ standard deviations above the mean.
$1.5\,\sigma$ above the mean.
Section 2 of 9

Reading P(z ≤ a) for Positive z

All questions on this topic are about areas under the bell curve. Probability = area. The standard z-table (in your Formulae & Tables, p. 36) gives you the area to the left of any positive z-value. We read it like a normal lookup table.
How to read P(z ≤ a)
1.Sketch the curve. Mark $a$ on the z-axis. Shade everything to the left of $a$.
2.Look up $a$ in the body of the z-table — row gives the units & tenths, column gives the hundredths.
3.The number you read is $P(z \leq a)$ — the shaded area, which is the probability.

(i)   Two free ones to start

$P(z \leq 0)$ — area to the left of zero. The curve is symmetric, so half the area is on each side:
0
$P(z \leq 0) \,=\, 0.5$
$P(z \leq 1)$ — most of the curve. Read $z = 1.00$ in the table:
1
$P(z \leq 1) \,=\, 0.8413$

(ii)   Worked example — P(z ≤ 0.6)

Question.   Find $P(z \leq 0.6)$.
0.6
Sketch first — shaded everything left of $0.6$. Now look up $0.6$ in the table (row $0.6$, column $0.00$):
$P(z \leq 0.6) \,=\, 0.7257$
That's about $72.6\%$ of the area. Sense-check: $0.6$ is just to the right of the mean, so the shaded area should be a little more than half. $0.7257$ fits.

(iii)   Worked example — P(z ≤ 0.31)

Question.   Find $P(z \leq 0.31)$.
0.31
Row $0.3$, column $0.01$ in the z-table:
$P(z \leq 0.31) \,=\, 0.6217$
You try
Find $P(z \leq 0.45)$.
Sketch — vertical at $0.45$, shade to the left. Then row $0.4$, column $0.05$.
Shade everything left of $0.45$:
0.45
From the z-table: row $0.4$, column $0.05$.
$P(z \leq 0.45) = 0.6736$
$P(z \leq 0.45) = 0.6736$
You try
Find $P(z \leq 1.2)$.
Row $1.2$, column $0.00$.
$1.2$ is well above the mean, so expect something close to $0.9$:
1.2
$P(z \leq 1.2) = 0.8849$
$P(z \leq 1.2) = 0.8849$
You try
Find $P(z \leq 1.96)$.   (This is a famous one — comes up in 95% confidence intervals later.)
Row $1.9$, column $0.06$.
Almost the whole curve is to the left of $1.96$:
1.96
$P(z \leq 1.96) = 0.9750$
$P(z \leq 1.96) = 0.9750$
Section 3 of 9

P(z ≥ a): The Complement Rule

The z-table only gives areas to the left. But often you want the area to the right — the values above a certain z-score. Two regions split the curve in two, and the total area is $1$:
a + b = 1
Total area under the bell curve $\,=\, 1$.
If you shade everything to the left of $z = a$ and call that area $a$, and the rest is $b$, then $a + b = 1$.
So   $P(z \geq a) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq a)$.   Look up the left tail, subtract from 1.
aab

(i)   Worked example — P(z ≥ 0.4)

Question.   Find $P(z \geq 0.4)$.
0.4
Use the complement — get the left from the table, subtract from $1$:
$P(z \geq 0.4) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.4)$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 0.4)} \,=\, 1 - 0.6554$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 0.4)} \,=\, 0.3446$

(ii)   Worked example — P(z ≥ 1.28)

Question.   Find $P(z \geq 1.28)$.
1.28
$P(z \geq 1.28) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 1.28)$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 1.28)} \,=\, 1 - 0.8997$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 1.28)} \,=\, 0.1003$
That's the top $10\%$ of the curve — a number you'll see again when we do "top 10%" questions.
You try
Find $P(z \geq 0.3)$.
$1 - P(z \leq 0.3)$.
0.3
$P(z \geq 0.3) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.3)$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 0.3)} \,=\, 1 - 0.6179$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 0.3)} \,=\, 0.3821$
$0.3821$
You try
Find $P(z \geq 1.5)$.
Complement of $P(z \leq 1.5)$.
1.5
$P(z \geq 1.5) \,=\, 1 - 0.9332$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq 1.5)} \,=\, 0.0668$
$0.0668$
You try
Find $P(z \geq 2)$.   (Should match your Empirical-Rule intuition for the top tail.)
$1 - P(z \leq 2)$. Empirical Rule says ~2.5% is above $\mu + 2\sigma$.
2
$P(z \geq 2) \,=\, 1 - 0.9772 \,=\, 0.0228$.
That is about $2.28\%$ — close to the Empirical Rule's $2.5\%$.
$P(z \geq 2) = 0.0228$
$P(z \geq 2) = 0.0228$
Section 4 of 9

Negative z: Using Symmetry

The standard z-table only gives positive z-values. So how do we handle $P(z \leq -0.4)$ or $P(z \geq -1)$? Easy — the bell curve is symmetric about $z = 0$. Flip the picture.
The two key tricks — together they handle every negative-z question:
Symmetry — must learn
1.$P(z \leq -a) \,=\, P(z \geq a) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq a)$   (left tail of $-a$ has the same area as the right tail of $+a$)
2.$P(z \geq -a) \,=\, P(z \leq a)$   (everything above $-a$ is the same area as everything below $+a$ — by symmetry)
Picture rule 1 — shaded left tail of $-a$ mirrors the right tail of $+a$:
−a
$P(z \leq -a)$
=
a
$1 - P(z \leq a)$
Picture rule 2 — shaded right tail of $-a$ mirrors the left tail of $+a$:
−a
$P(z \geq -a)$
=
a
$P(z \leq a)$

(i)   Worked example — P(z ≤ −0.2)

Question.   Find $P(z \leq -0.2)$.
−0.2
The shaded tail is on the negative side. By symmetry it has the same area as the right tail above $+0.2$:
$P(z \leq -0.2) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.2)$
$\hphantom{P(z \leq -0.2)} \,=\, 1 - 0.5793$
$\hphantom{P(z \leq -0.2)} \,=\, 0.4207$

(ii)   Worked example — P(z ≥ −0.6)

Question.   Find $P(z \geq -0.6)$.
−0.6
Big shaded area to the right of $-0.6$ — by rule 2, the same as $P(z \leq 0.6)$:
$P(z \geq -0.6) \,=\, P(z \leq 0.6)$
$\hphantom{P(z \geq -0.6)} \,=\, 0.7257$
Notice: when both signs are negative, the two minuses cancel — $P(z \geq -0.6) = P(z \leq 0.6)$.
You try
Find $P(z \leq -0.5)$.
Same area as $1 - P(z \leq 0.5)$ by symmetry.
−0.5
$P(z \leq -0.5) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.5) \,=\, 1 - 0.6915$.
$P(z \leq -0.5) = 0.3085$
$0.3085$
You try
Find $P(z \geq -1.2)$.
Two minuses cancel: $P(z \geq -a) = P(z \leq a)$.
−1.2
$P(z \geq -1.2) \,=\, P(z \leq 1.2) \,=\, 0.8849$.
$P(z \geq -1.2) = 0.8849$
$0.8849$
You try
Find $P(z \leq -0.85)$.
Mirror to $1 - P(z \leq 0.85)$.
−0.85
$P(z \leq -0.85) \,=\, 1 - 0.8023 \,=\, 0.1977$.
$P(z \leq -0.85) = 0.1977$
$0.1977$
Section 5 of 9

Intervals: P(a ≤ z ≤ b)

Now the question gives us a strip between two z-values. The trick: any "between" question = "big area left of the top" minus "smaller area left of the bottom".
The interval rule
$P(a \leq z \leq b) \,=\, P(z \leq b) \,-\, P(z \leq a)$    (top area, take the bottom area off)
If either $a$ or $b$ is negative, convert that one to a positive lookup first using Section 4 symmetry.

(i)   Worked example — P(−0.4 ≤ z ≤ 0.8)

Question.   Find $P(-0.4 \leq z \leq 0.8)$.
−0.40.8
Subtract the left-of-bottom area from the left-of-top area:
0.8
$P(z \leq 0.8)$
−0.4
$P(z \leq -0.4)$
$P(-0.4 \leq z \leq 0.8) \,=\, P(z \leq 0.8) \,-\, P(z \leq -0.4)$
$\hphantom{P(-0.4 \leq z \leq 0.8)} \,=\, 0.7881 \,-\, [\,1 - P(z \leq 0.4)\,]$
$\hphantom{P(-0.4 \leq z \leq 0.8)} \,=\, 0.7881 \,-\, [\,1 - 0.6554\,]$
$\hphantom{P(-0.4 \leq z \leq 0.8)} \,=\, 0.7881 \,-\, 0.3446$
$\hphantom{P(-0.4 \leq z \leq 0.8)} \,=\, 0.4435$

(ii)   Worked example — P(−0.33 ≤ z ≤ 0.67)

Question.   Find $P(-0.33 \leq z \leq 0.67)$.
−0.330.67
$P(-0.33 \leq z \leq 0.67) \,=\, P(z \leq 0.67) \,-\, P(z \leq -0.33)$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.7486 \,-\, [\,1 - 0.6293\,]$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.7486 \,-\, 0.3707$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.3779$
You try
Find $P(0.2 \leq z \leq 0.9)$.   (Both ends positive — quick subtraction.)
$P(z \leq 0.9) - P(z \leq 0.2)$.
0.20.9
$P(0.2 \leq z \leq 0.9) \,=\, P(z \leq 0.9) \,-\, P(z \leq 0.2)$
$\hphantom{P(0.2 \leq z \leq 0.9)} \,=\, 0.8159 \,-\, 0.5793$
$\hphantom{P(0.2 \leq z \leq 0.9)} \,=\, 0.2366$
$0.2366$
You try
Find $P(-0.5 \leq z \leq 1.2)$.
Negative bottom — convert via symmetry. $P(z \leq -0.5) = 1 - P(z \leq 0.5)$.
−0.51.2
$P(-0.5 \leq z \leq 1.2) \,=\, P(z \leq 1.2) \,-\, P(z \leq -0.5)$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.8849 \,-\, [\,1 - 0.6915\,]$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.8849 \,-\, 0.3085$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.5764$
$0.5764$
You try
Find $P(-1 \leq z \leq -0.3)$.   (Both ends negative.)
Convert both: $P(z \leq -0.3) - P(z \leq -1) = (1-0.6179) - (1-0.8413)$.
−1−0.3
$P(-1 \leq z \leq -0.3) \,=\, P(z \leq -0.3) \,-\, P(z \leq -1)$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, [\,1 - 0.6179\,] \,-\, [\,1 - 0.8413\,]$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.3821 \,-\, 0.1587$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.2234$
$0.2234$
Section 6 of 9

Inverse Lookups: From Probability to z

So far the question gave us a z-value and asked for an area. Now we flip it — the question gives an area and asks which z-value matches it. This is the same z-table — used backwards.
Inverse lookup — must learn
1.If $P(z \leq z_1) = $ some number, find that number in the body of the z-table, then read the z-value from the row and column.
2.If the number is less than $0.5$, then $z_1$ is negative. Use symmetry: find $z_2$ such that $P(z \leq z_2) = 1 - $(given number), then $z_1 = -z_2$.

(i)   Worked example — find z₁ given P = 0.6145

Question.   $P(z \leq z_1) \,=\, 0.6145$.   Find $z_1$.
$z_1$
Hunt for $0.6145$ in the body of the z-table. The closest entry is $0.6141$ at row $0.2$, column $0.09$.
$z_1 \,=\, 0.29$
Sense-check: the probability $0.6145$ is just a bit above $0.5$, so $z_1$ should be just above $0$. $0.29$ fits.

(ii)   Worked example — find z₁ given P = 0.3515 (negative answer)

Question.   $P(z \leq z_1) \,=\, 0.3515$.   Find $z_1$.
$z_1$
$0.3515$ is less than $0.5$, so $z_1$ is to the left of the mean — negative. Mirror the shaded region to the right tail:
$z_2$
$1 - 0.3515 \,=\, 0.6485$   (area on the positive side)
$P(z \leq z_2) \,=\, 0.6485 \;\Rightarrow\; z_2 \,=\, 0.38$   (from the table)
$z_1 \,=\, -z_2 \,=\, -0.38$
You try
$P(z \leq z_1) \,=\, 0.8023$.   Find $z_1$.
Big probability — $z_1$ is positive. Look up $0.8023$ in the table.
$0.8023$ sits at row $0.8$, column $0.05$ in the z-table.
$z_1$
$z_1 = 0.85$
$z_1 = 0.85$
You try
$P(z \leq z_1) \,=\, 0.2546$.   Find $z_1$.
Less than $0.5$ — answer is negative. Use $1 - 0.2546 = 0.7454$.
$0.2546 < 0.5$, so $z_1$ is negative. Flip:
$1 - 0.2546 \,=\, 0.7454 \;\Rightarrow\; P(z \leq z_2) \,=\, 0.7454$.
From the table: $z_2 \,=\, 0.66$.
$z_1$
$z_1 \,=\, -0.66$
$z_1 \,=\, -0.66$
You try
$P(z \leq z_1) \,=\, 0.9750$.   Find $z_1$.
Famous value — the $97.5\%$ point.
$0.9750$ corresponds exactly to row $1.9$, column $0.06$.
$z_1$
$z_1 = 1.96$
$z_1 = 1.96$
Section 7 of 9

The Standard Score Formula

Up to now everything has been on the standard curve — z is already a z-score. But real-world data isn't in z-scores; it's in €, $kg$, percentages, IQ points. We need to convert our raw value $x$ into a z-score first. Then we can use the table.
The standard score — the master formula
z$\,=\, \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma}$    where $\mu$ is the population mean and $\sigma$ is the population standard deviation.
$x$  =  the raw value you're interested in.
$z$  =  the standard score — how many $\sigma$ above the mean $x$ is.
If $x > \mu$  then $z > 0$.  If $x < \mu$  then $z < 0$.

(i)   Worked example — Rent

Question.   Cost of rent has a mean of €$600$ per month and standard deviation €$40$ per month. What percentage of rents are €$620$ or less?
$\mu = 600 \qquad \sigma = 40 \qquad x = 620$
$z \,=\, \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \,=\, \dfrac{620 - 600}{40} \,=\, \dfrac{20}{40} \,=\, 0.5$
0.5
$P(z \leq 0.5) \,=\, 0.6915$
$\approx 69.15\%$ of rents are €$620$ or less

(ii)   Worked example — A bag of sweets

Question.   In a bag of sweets the mean weight is $35\text{ g}$ and standard deviation is $2\text{ g}$. From $5000$ bags, how many will be $36\text{ g}$ or more?
$\mu = 35 \qquad \sigma = 2 \qquad x = 36$   (want $x \geq 36$)
$z \,=\, \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \,=\, \dfrac{36 - 35}{2} \,=\, 0.5$
0.5
$P(z \geq 0.5) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.5) \,=\, 1 - 0.6915 \,=\, 0.3085$
Number of bags $\,=\, 0.3085 \times 5000 \,=\, 1542.5$
$\approx 1543$ bags
Rounding tip. When the answer is a count of physical objects, round up to the next whole number — you can't have half a bag of sweets.
You try
A class has mean test score $\mu = 70$ and standard deviation $\sigma = 5$. Find the z-score of a student who scored $78$.
Plug into $z = (x - \mu)/\sigma$.
$z \,=\, \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \,=\, \dfrac{78 - 70}{5} \,=\, \dfrac{8}{5}$
$z = 1.6$
So the student is $1.6$ standard deviations above the mean.
$z = 1.6$
You try
Heights of adult men in a town have $\mu = 170\text{ cm}$ and $\sigma = 8\text{ cm}$. Find the z-score of a man who is $158\text{ cm}$ tall.
$x$ is below the mean, so expect a negative $z$.
$z \,=\, \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \,=\, \dfrac{158 - 170}{8} \,=\, \dfrac{-12}{8}$
$z = -1.5$
$1.5$ standard deviations below the mean.
$z = -1.5$
Section 8 of 9

Applications: Counts, Percentages and Ranks

Most exam questions on z-scores come in three flavours: (a) what fraction / how many, (b) what percentage, (c) where in the rankings. Three flavours, one recipe — convert to z, look up the area, scale up.
The four-step recipe
1.Write down $\mu$, $\sigma$ and the raw value(s) of $x$.
2.Compute $z = (x - \mu)/\sigma$.   If there are two endpoints, compute two z-values.
3.Sketch the curve. Find the required area using Sections 2–5.
4.Multiply by the population size for a count; or read off as a percentage / rank.

(i)   Worked example — Maths test ranking

Question.   Mean in a maths test was $61\%$ with standard deviation $3\%$. I got $59\%$. Where was I in the class of $100$?
$\mu = 61 \qquad \sigma = 3 \qquad x = 59$
$z \,=\, \dfrac{59 - 61}{3} \,=\, \dfrac{-2}{3} \,\approx\, -0.66$
−0.66
$P(z \leq -0.66) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.66) \,=\, 1 - 0.7454 \,=\, 0.2546$
That's the fraction of the class who scored below me. Out of 100 students:
$0.2546 \times 100 \,=\, 25.46$   (students below me)
I am the $26^{\text{th}}$ from the bottom — i.e. $74^{\text{th}}$ from the top out of 100
Even a score $2\%$ below the mean is well into the bottom quarter — because $\sigma$ is only $3\%$, so $2\%$ is nearly a full $\sigma$.

(ii)   Worked example — Cows producing milk

Question.   A cow produces $26$ litres per day on average. The standard deviation is $3$ litres. How many of my $350$ cows produce between $24$ and $27$ litres?
$\mu = 26 \qquad \sigma = 3 \qquad 24 \leq x \leq 27$
At $x = 24$:   $z \,=\, \dfrac{24 - 26}{3} \,=\, \dfrac{-2}{3} \,\approx\, -0.67$
At $x = 27$:   $z \,=\, \dfrac{27 - 26}{3} \,=\, \dfrac{1}{3} \,\approx\, 0.33$
−0.670.33
$P(-0.67 \leq z \leq 0.33) \,=\, P(z \leq 0.33) \,-\, P(z \leq -0.67)$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.6293 \,-\, [\,1 - 0.7486\,]$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.6293 \,-\, 0.2514$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.3779$
Number of cows $\,=\, 0.3779 \times 350 \,=\, 132.265$
$\approx 133$ cows
You try
A bag of apples has $\mu = 180\text{ g}$ and $\sigma = 20\text{ g}$. What percentage of apples weigh more than $200\text{ g}$?
Find $z$ for $x=200$, then use the complement.
$z \,=\, \dfrac{200 - 180}{20} \,=\, 1$.
1
$P(z \geq 1) \,=\, 1 - 0.8413 \,=\, 0.1587$.
$\approx 15.87\%$ of apples weigh more than $200\text{ g}$.
$\approx 15.87\%$
You try
A test has $\mu = 65$ and $\sigma = 8$. Out of $2000$ students, how many scored between $60$ and $75$?
Convert each endpoint to a z-score, then find the interval area, then multiply by 2000.
At $x=60$:   $z = \dfrac{60-65}{8} = -\dfrac{5}{8} \approx -0.63$.
At $x=75$:   $z = \dfrac{75-65}{8} = \dfrac{10}{8} = 1.25$.
−0.631.25
$P(-0.63 \leq z \leq 1.25) \,=\, P(z \leq 1.25) \,-\, P(z \leq -0.63)$
$\hphantom{=} \,=\, 0.8944 \,-\, [\,1 - 0.7357\,] \,=\, 0.8944 \,-\, 0.2643 \,=\, 0.6301$
$0.6301 \times 2000 \,=\, 1260.2$.
$\approx 1261$ students  (round up — discrete count)
$\approx 1261$ students
You try
In a normal test with $\mu = 50$ and $\sigma = 10$, a student scored $42$. Where would they finish in a class of $200$?
Negative $z$. The area to the left tells you how many scored worse.
$z \,=\, \dfrac{42 - 50}{10} \,=\, -0.8$.
−0.8
$P(z \leq -0.8) \,=\, 1 - P(z \leq 0.8) \,=\, 1 - 0.7881 \,=\, 0.2119$.
Number scoring below this student $\,=\, 0.2119 \times 200 \,=\, 42.38$.
$\approx 43^{\text{rd}}$ from the bottom (out of $200$).
$\approx 43^{\text{rd}}$ from the bottom
Section 9 of 9

Threshold Problems: Top % and Quartiles

Last flavour. The question gives you a percentile ("top 10%", "upper quartile", "bottom 5%") and asks for the raw score that hits it. This is Section 6 (inverse lookup) combined with Section 7 (the formula).
Threshold recipe — must learn
1.Convert the percentile into a left-tail probability.   e.g. “Top $10\%$” means $P(z \leq k) = 0.9$.   “Bottom $5\%$” means $P(z \leq k) = 0.05$.   “Upper quartile” means $P(z \leq k) = 0.75$.
2.Look up $k$ in the z-table (inverse lookup — find the area in the body, read the z-value).
3.Solve $\dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma} = k$ for $x$.   That gives $\,x = \mu + k\sigma$.

(i)   Worked example — Top 10% in a test

Question.   A test has mean $56\%$ with standard deviation $4\%$. What result will put you in the top $10\%$ of students?
$\mu = 56 \qquad \sigma = 4$
Top $10\%$ means $10\%$ of students score higher than this cut-off. So $90\%$ score lower:
$k$0.90.1
$P(z \leq k) \,=\, 0.9$
From the z-table: $0.8997$ is at row $1.2$, column $0.08$.
$k \,=\, 1.28$
Now solve back for $x$:
$\dfrac{x - 56}{4} \,=\, 1.28$
$x - 56 \,=\, 1.28 \times 4 \,=\, 5.12$
$x \,=\, 61.12$
$\approx 62\%$
Round up for a threshold — if you score $61\%$ exactly you don't quite make the top $10\%$, so the safe answer is $62\%$.

(ii)   Worked example — Upper quartile

Question.   Test scores have mean $\mu = 156$ with standard deviation $\sigma = 3$. What score puts you in the upper quartile?
$\mu = 156 \qquad \sigma = 3$
"Upper quartile" means the top $25\%$, so $75\%$ score below the cut-off:
$k$0.750.25
$P(z \leq k) \,=\, 0.75 \;\Rightarrow\; k \,=\, 0.67$   (from $0.7486$ in the table)
$\dfrac{x - 156}{3} \,=\, 0.67$
$x - 156 \,=\, 0.67 \times 3 \,=\, 2.01$
$x \,=\, 158.01$
$\approx 158$
You try
IQ scores have $\mu = 100$ and $\sigma = 15$. What IQ puts you in the top $5\%$?
Top $5\%$ means $P(z \leq k) = 0.95$. Find $k$, then solve for $x$.
Top $5\%$  $\Rightarrow$  $P(z \leq k) \,=\, 0.95$.
The closest entries are $P(z \leq 1.64) = 0.9495$ and $P(z \leq 1.65) = 0.9505$. Take $k = 1.65$ (the safer pick — gives $\geq 95\%$).
$k$
$\dfrac{x - 100}{15} \,=\, 1.65 \;\Rightarrow\; x \,=\, 100 + 1.65(15) \,=\, 124.75$.
$\text{IQ} \approx 125$
$\text{IQ} \approx 125$
You try
Crisp packets have $\mu = 30\text{ g}$ and $\sigma = 2\text{ g}$. What weight is in the bottom $10\%$?
Negative $k$. Bottom 10% means $P(z \leq k) = 0.1$.
Bottom $10\%$  $\Rightarrow$  $P(z \leq k) \,=\, 0.1$.
$0.1 < 0.5$, so $k$ is negative. Use $1 - 0.1 \,=\, 0.9$  $\Rightarrow$  $k_+ \,=\, 1.28$, so $k = -1.28$.
$k$
$\dfrac{x - 30}{2} \,=\, -1.28$
$x \,=\, 30 + 2(-1.28) \,=\, 30 - 2.56 \,=\, 27.44$.
$x \approx 27.4\text{ g}$
$\approx 27.4\text{ g}$
You try
Salaries in a company have $\mu =$ €$45{,}000$ and $\sigma =$ €$6{,}000$. What salary puts you in the lower quartile?
Lower quartile = bottom 25%, so $P(z \leq k) = 0.25$, giving $k = -0.67$.
Lower quartile  $\Rightarrow$  $P(z \leq k) \,=\, 0.25 \,<\, 0.5$, so $k$ is negative.
$1 - 0.25 \,=\, 0.75 \;\Rightarrow\; k_+ \,=\, 0.67$, so $k = -0.67$.
$k$
$\dfrac{x - 45000}{6000} \,=\, -0.67$
$x \,=\, 45000 + 6000(-0.67) \,=\, 45000 - 4020 \,=\, 40{,}980$.
$x \approx$ €$40{,}980$
$\approx$ €$40{,}980$

You're done.

Z-Scores & the Normal Distribution  ·  Higher Level  ·  Mathslive.ie

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